Will Haoxing, Kushal, and Tessa finish their memorization mechanistic interpretability workshop paper by 90 days from today?
51%
chance
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This market resolves to "Yes" if the paper is submitted to a workshop before April 28, 2023. It resolves to "No" if they give up, or do not finish by this date.
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Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Tessa