Will Haoxing, Kushal, and Tessa finish their memorization mechanistic interpretability workshop paper by 90 days from today?
Apr 29

This market resolves to "Yes" if the paper is submitted to a workshop before April 28, 2023. It resolves to "No" if they give up, or do not finish by this date.

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Manifold in the WildBot

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Tessa

Prediction market on whether research will be completed in the time allotted for the research https://manifold.markets/tessybarton/will-haoxing-kushal-and-tessa-finis?r=dGVzc3liYXJ0b24

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Arcgisbought Ṁ10 of YES

It is always a good idea to bet against people finishing their research by a specific time!