
This market resolves to YES if evidence emerges that points to the alleged UnitedHealthCare CEO assassin, Luigi Mangione, being the operator of the https://x.com/mister_shroom Twitter/X account. This market is about whether the mister_shroom account was operated by Luigi Mangione, and will resolve YES or NO on this regardless as to whether Mr. Mangione is convicted of the assassination.
I have left the criteria to this market purposefully vague because I am not sure what evidence might emerge that could link the two. Some examples of linkage that would cause me to resolve the market include:
A personal friend or family member of the alleged assassin linking him with the account
Messages from the mister_shroom account being leaked that demonstrate the operator of that account to share multiple identifying features of Mr. Mangione, including work or school history, location, personal history, or name
Luigi Mangione himself saying "I am mister shroom" in court