Will I get covid in 2022?
16
2
140
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
This question will resolve to YES if, at some point during 2022, I get a positive covid test (official PCR test or Cue molecular at-home test) and don't for some reason believe it is a false positive. To avoid edge cases, the market will resolve N/A if I get a positive test but believe it is a false positive for some reason (e.g. if I take several tests around the same time and only one is positive). Any other weird edge cases (at my discretion) will also resolve N/A. Barring weird edge cases, the question will resolve NO if I don't get a positive covid test at any point in 2022. I currently take a Cue molecular at-home covid test before all medium-large social gatherings, i.e. maybe 3-4 times a month on average, as well as anytime I have symptoms reminiscent of a cold/flu/covid. Background info: - I live in the SF Bay Area - I've never had covid so far - Fully vaxed & boosted, and so is basically everyone I hang out with - I currently work fully from home, but at some point in the year will probably start working in the office about half-time My covid policy when there aren't unusually high covid levels: - mask (usually KN95 or P100) in public indoor places (e.g. stores, transit) - might dine indoor in a restaurant if the microcovids are low and/or I really want to, but default to outdoor - basically no restrictions on hanging out with vaccinated family/friends who haven't had a recent covid exposure - this includes choir rehearsals every other week (or every week in November and December), indoors but with many air filters, many choir members test pre-rehearsal - also an average of about 2 parties a month My covid policy when there ARE unusually high covid levels (e.g. this past month): - mask (usually KN95 or P100) in public indoor places (e.g. stores, transit), no indoor dining - no restrictions on individual or small-group hangouts with vaccinated family/friends who haven't had a recent covid exposure - choir happens outside if at all - no big indoor parties (However, I may drop even these precautions in the future if ambient covid risk levels get low enough.) Going to be doing some indoor group singing this weekend in particular.
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