Will I make a market with at least 100 traders this year?
closes Dec 31

Sort by:
MayMeta avatar
MayMetabought Ṁ220 of YES

I think your markets are amazing, and you already have some with ~60-70 trades. There's a good chance imo that this will resolve YES before August.

tailcalled avatar
tailcalledis predicting YES at 85%

@MayMeta Note that this market said trade*r*s, not trades. My peak trader counts are at 47 and 40 currently.

MayMeta avatar
MayMetasold Ṁ94 of YES

@tailcalled whoops thanks. I still think it's at least 70%

Related markets

Will my relationship market have at least 100 unique traders by the end of 2023?40%
Will any long-term market have at least 1000 traders by the end of 2023?68%
Will this market have at least 500 traders by the end of 2023?32%
By the end of 2023, will my most popular market have > 200 unique traders?89%
Will I have 115+ followers at market close June 3rd99%
Will any market get >10k unique traders?14%
Will this market get 69 unique traders?21%
Will my experimental group of scandal markets get at least 300 traders by the end of July?33%
Will any market about the Manifold MTG tournament get at least 50 traders?61%
By the end of 2023, will anyone have an untrustworthy badge for at least a month, and create at least 2 markets during that time that get at least 50 traders each?12%
Will I have 50+ active markets with at least 20 participants by end of June? (20 now)78%
At the end of 2023, will any of my open markets with at least 40 traders have gone for at least 2 months with no bids?41%
Will I have 90+ double digit participant open markets created by end of June? (59 now)85%
By the end of 2023, will any other market pertaining to the number "69" get more traders than mine?43%
If I livestream a game of chess with my partner and run a market on the outcome, will that market get at least 15 traders?61%
Will I have 122+ followers at market close June 15th86%
Will the #20 position on the all-time creator leaderboard have traders >10K by end of 2023?74%
Will the trading bonus be increased for the first few unique traders?43%
What percent of top all time manifold traders will be top all time manifold creators at market close?23%
The most popular market to be resolved incorrectly in 2023 will have how many unique traders?134