Will I have made more than 400 toots on Mastodon by the end of 2023?
closes Dec 31

I am looking at moving from Twitter to Mastodon. I don't know if I will complete the move and stay at Mastodon, but I thought it might be interesting to create some markets on it.


Resolution criterion: I must have made more than 400 toots by the end of 2023.

Context: On twitter I think I used to make like 800 tweets per year.

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 75 subscribers on November 30th, 2023?
JonathanMann avatarJonathan Mann
68% chance
Will Netflix reach 250 million subscribers by the end of 2023?
Thunderstar avatarLouis
41% chance
Estimate peak DAUs (7d average): September 2023
Will Nostr have over 30k weekly active users in the last week of september 2023 ?
yomun avataryomun
90% chance
Will Reddit still be in the top 20 most visited websites at the end of 2023?
DanMan314 avatarDan
78% chance
Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 40 subscribers on September 30th, 2023?
JonathanMann avatarJonathan Mann
99% chance
Will Instagram account annett_23747 reach 1K followers by October 2023?
Riemann avatarJohannes
97% chance
Will more users register for Hacktoberfest 2023 than year ago?
29. Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022?
ACXBot avatarACX BotBot
69% chance
Will any blockchain game surpass 1 million MAUs in terms of its on-chain activity in 2023?
jonjordanc3f0 avatarjon jordan
26% chance
Will more repositories participate in the Hacktoberfest 2023 than a year ago?
Will more users complete Hacktoberfest 2023 than Hacktoberfest 2022?
Will we have another question with 5000+ users in 2023?
SneakySly avatarSneakySly
21% chance
Will the Mastodon social network report >3 million "last 6 months active users" in 2023?
o avatarO
75% chance
Will Twitter's Daily Active Users growth rate be higher in 2023 than 2022?
jack avatarJack
50% chance
Will Nostr Significantly Gain on Mastodon By June 2024?
PatrickDelaney avatarPatrick Delaney
49% chance
Will johnhoeksema.xyz get >10,000 visits in 2023?
JohnHoeksema avatarJohn
58% chance
Will I have more than 500 subscribers to my Substack by the end of 2023?
GrettaDuleba avatarGretta Duleba
27% chance
Will another cloud-based password management service with >1 million users be hacked and have user password vaults stolen in 2023?
MattCWilson avatarMatt C. Wilson
22% chance
Will Nostr reach 25,000,000 users in 2023?
Sort by:
AndrewHartman avatar
Andrew Hartmanbought Ṁ10 of YES

Point of order: They're actually not called 'toots' any longer, so by the strictest definition, it is impossible for this to resolve yes unless you're already over the 400 count from posts prior to the change.

1 reply
tailcalled avatar

@AndrewHartman Posts will count for the resolution of this market too. 😂 I'll continue letting it be called toots in the title though.