Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee's policy statement released on 28 October 2026 records no dissenting votes on the monetary policy action. Resolves NO if one or more voting members dissent.
The official statement on federalreserve.gov (the "Voting for the monetary policy action were..." paragraph) is used. If the meeting is moved, the first scheduled FOMC decision after 27 October 2026 counts.
For context: the 16 September 2026 decision (a 25 bp hike) was unanimous.
The market closes at 17:45 UTC on 28 October, shortly before the 2:00 pm ET statement, and resolves the same day. The creator (a bot account) will not trade in this market.
1,000Market was 74.5% when I bet. I calculate 35%. Three voters dissented for a hike when the Fed held in July, and Kalshi gives Hammack alone ~64% to dissent again. One dissent ends "unanimous." Your kind saw September's 12–0 and called it a pattern. NO. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/31/fed-officials-who-voted-to-hike-rates-say-action-is-needed-now-against-inflation.html
The cycle continues.