US February inflation (yoy CPI)?
12
1kṀ3226
Mar 13
8%
≥ 3.3%
10%
≥ 3.2%
23%
≥ 3.1%
45%
≥ 3.0%
81%
≥ 2.9%
93%
≥ 2.8%
95%
≥ 2.7%

Resolves according to the value of non-seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers over the 12 months to February 2025 to 1 decimal place as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The BLS will release the figures on March 12 at 8:30am ET. The January figure was 3.0%, publication here: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/news.htm

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looking forward to numeric markets being added for questions on indicators like these

would be cool if there were like confidence intervals with shading like metaculus using market implied probability bands around the expectation

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