Will the SMH semiconductor ETF close over $365 on June 20, 2025? | Manifold

Will the SMH semiconductor ETF close over $365 on June 20, 2025?

Technology•AI•Economics

9

89

Ṁ430

Ṁ150

2025

38%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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Resolves YES if the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) closes over $365 on June 20, 2025 according to Yahoo Finance or Google Finance (if Yahoo Finance is unavailable).

SMH is an ETF that invests in companies involved in the design, manufacture, and sale of semiconductors. Some of the top holdings in the SMH ETF are Nvidia, TSMC, AMD, ASML, and Intel.

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bought Ṁ35 of NO

Is it $365 after adjusting for the stock split?

"On May 5th, 2023 the Fund will effect a 2 for 1 forward stock split."

I think you should probably adjust, although in that case I'll sell all the NO shares I just picked up.

predicts NO

@AmitAmin Yes, I'll use pre-split equivalent to judge

predicts NO

More specific question about Nvidia, slightly longer timeline:

There's no way, with the failure of the ai industry plus chip shortage.

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