Will Truth Social still be operating 3 years after Trump dies?
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bought Ṁ20 YES

I mean, Myspace is still operating, technically. If the question was "will still have more than ~100k DAU" I think I'd probably answer differently.

@AndrewHartman do they publish those stats, that is more in line with what i am asking: will it be a defunct website?

@strutheo I dunno? Let's attempt a little google fu and see what we come up with.

@AndrewHartman Well, this Reuters article suggests that Truth has about 607k monthly users as of July 2023, so it's possible they already have less than 100k DAU depending. I found a digital marketing blog that claims the Truth app is downloaded about 8k times a day, which seems to me like a reasonably healthy number still. But neither of those sources are real primary sources and the latter one honestly seems fairly rosy compared to the numbers from the first so I'm a bit skeptical of the lot.

@AndrewHartman yeah i might want to clarify 'actively operative by my or manifold's judgement - meaning there is significant user activity that are real people not just bots, and it is not declining as a company' etc

@strutheo Oh yeah, the bot thing would be hard to suss out from raw user numbers. Well, just ping us if you change the criteria. My general attitude is that Trump's death would probably kill the platform over time, but any simple criteria for decline are probably not gonna capture it within three years.

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