Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2029 (12:00 AM UTC), either of the following occurs:
The Truth Social social media platform, its proprietary software, or its core operational assets are sold to, acquired by, or fully spun off to a third-party corporate entity.
The parent company of Truth Social (Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., NASDAQ: DJT, or its successor company following any subsequent mergers) is acquired, taken private, or undergoes a merger in which the existing DJT shareholders do not retain a majority (50% or more) of the equity or voting power of the combined entity.
Specific Exclusions:
The proposed merger between Trump Media & Technology Group and TAE Technologies (originally announced in December 2025) is explicitly excluded from triggering a YES resolution, as it is structured as an all-stock transaction where shareholders of each company own approximately 50% of the combined company, and the deal was established prior to the creation of this market.
Any previously abandoned spin-off arrangements (such as the terminated June 2026 plan with Texas Ventures III) will not trigger a YES.
The acquisition or buyout transaction must be legally completed and closed before January 1, 2029, to resolve YES. An announcement of a transaction that does not close before the deadline will resolve NO.
The primary sources of truth for resolution will be official SEC filings (such as Form 8-K, Form S-4, or definitive merger agreements) from Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. or its successor, alongside credible financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC).
Background
Truth Social is owned and operated by Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT). In December 2025, TMTG announced an all-stock merger valued at over $6 billion with private nuclear fusion firm TAE Technologies, aiming to construct utility-scale fusion power plants. Initially, the company floated plans to spin off Truth Social into a separate, publicly traded entity through a SPAC (Texas Ventures Acquisition III), but in June 2026, TMTG officially abandoned the spin-off plans. Truth Social remains integrated with the core TMTG parent company as it proceeds with the TAE Technologies merger. This market tracks whether Truth Social or its parent company will be acquired or bought out by a third party before 2029.
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