Will Trump announce his intention to enact zero capital gains tax on crypto by the end of 2025?
15
100Ṁ361
2026
54%
chance

  • Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarified Resolution Criteria:

    • The policy announcement must apply to at least some crypto.

    • It is not required to cover all crypto.

  • Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcement Language Clarification:

    • Only explicit phrases such as "I plan to" count as an announcement of intention.

    • Offhand or ambiguous remarks (e.g., saying "it shouldn't be" in a speech) will not be counted.

    • These criteria apply in addition to the existing requirement that the policy announcement must reference crypto.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

I assume you are not evaluating the "seriousness of his intentions".

Will it resolve YES if in the middle of one of his rambles he goes "and our crypo is the best crypto, and it shouldn't be taxed, and we won't tax it, because Biden taxed it and that guy isn't a smart guy"?

@hidetzugu i wont count that since it seems a bit too offhand and open ended. but if the speech said 'i plan to' instead of 'it should be' then yes ill count it

i have another for if he actually goes through with it

Same question, all crypto or at least some, which?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen at least some amount of crypto

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