Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July 6th? | Manifold

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July 6th?

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resolved Jul 6

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Going by end of day Israel time

both sides must agree

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#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

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bought Ṁ1 NO

Talks don’t even resume until next week.

Just some free cash here.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/07/05/israel-gaza-hamas-negotiations-breakthrough/

Agreeing to a ceasefire out of nowhere? On Shabbat? At night after Shabbat? You crazy?

bought Ṁ71 YES

Buying some yes, WSJ said that it's likely to be accepted... Betting on it being announced this weekend.

bought Ṁ450 NO

bump

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