Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Question

see: @/strutheo/will-i-slay-all-20-top-creators-by 
see: @/strutheo/how-many-top-creators-will-i-slay-b

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 38% chance (4 traders, as of Oct 28, 2025).

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