Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2024 ends?
Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2024 ends?
25
1.5kṀ11kresolved Dec 9
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will be using the Manifold leaderboard to measure the traders, most likely.
Here is an auto updating page with daily traders.
P.S. Please check the latest version of the leaderboard available at this link, or contact me, before resolving this market (in cases where I'm inactive for 7+ days).
Graph:
The trader counter stops at midnight.
Real traders, real trading only
Related: /strutheo/will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-be-4daa2c37bec3
Inspired by @firstuserhere 's market /_deleted_/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step
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1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ271 | |
| 2 | Ṁ241 | |
| 3 | Ṁ89 | |
| 4 | Ṁ32 | |
| 5 | Ṁ32 |
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reposted
58% there but the year is 66% done
due to the leaderboard changes i'm now at 41/100, polls no longer count so i'm not sure of my daily gain rate anymore
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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