Will a sudden death shake up the 2024 US Presidential election?
43
1kṀ13kresolved Dec 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if one of the candidates, running mates, or another person key to the election cycle by my judgement (ex: a supreme court justice deciding on the Trump case) dies before the election takes place.
NA if uncertain, or I can poll Manifold to see if they think the death counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ98 | |
2 | Ṁ73 | |
3 | Ṁ48 | |
4 | Ṁ35 | |
5 | Ṁ33 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?
3% chance
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
17% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
20% chance