Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of 2025 in the USA?
15
100Ṁ1223
2026
98.4%
chance

resolves YES if 1000 or more herds are affected by the end of year, as reported by this website

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve based on data through December 31, 2024

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The total count of affected herds includes all herds currently affected as well as any additional herds affected by the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)

COVID
Public Health
H5N1 Bird Flu
Pandemic
Infectious Disease
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Does this include the 905 herds that have already been affected? Or is it only counting additional herds affected in 2025?

@RyanMoulton all them

bought Ṁ10 YES

The data source appears US only, so maybe clarify title?

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