Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of 2025 in the USA?
15
100Ṁ1223
2026
98.4%
chance

resolves YES if 1000 or more herds are affected by the end of year, as reported by this website

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve based on data through December 31, 2024

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The total count of affected herds includes all herds currently affected as well as any additional herds affected by the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)

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