Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of 2025 in the USA?
15
100Ṁ12232026
98.4%
chance
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resolves YES if 1000 or more herds are affected by the end of year, as reported by this website
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve based on data through December 31, 2024
Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria Clarification:
The total count of affected herds includes all herds currently affected as well as any additional herds affected by the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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