🪦Who will be featured in the Oscars In Memoriam segment in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
11
900Ṁ31122026
92%
Val Kilmer
70%
Richard Chamberlain
60%
Eva Marie Saint
59%
Nicky Katt
59%
Mel Brooks
50%
Denis Arndt
41%
Dick van Dyke
34%
John Williams
34%
Ian McKellen
34%
William Shatner
29%
Michelle Trachtenberg
17%
Quincy Jones
16%
Bruce Willis
10%
Joe Camp
10%
Michael Culver
5%
Kris Kristofferson
4%
Gena Rowlands
4%
Teri Garr
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Joyce Randolph
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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