MANIFOLD
🌼What will happen in May 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
8
Ṁ750Ṁ919
May 31
91%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
90%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
72%
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
70%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
66%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
66%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
66%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
66%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
66%
Member of U.S Congress resigns, dies, or is removed from office
50%
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
50%
A tornado in the USA rated EF4 or greater
34%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
34%
starship launch
34%
trump leaves usa at least once
34%
usa bombs or missle strikes syria
33%
usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon
24%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
24%
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
24%
earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher
24%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy