Resolves NO? He at least didn't get listed in People Magazine's Every Royal from Around the World at the Paris Olympic Games . . . So Far article.

going off the two polymarkets for this one

Resolve YES?

https://apnews.com/article/winter-olympics-2030-france-alps-nice-ioc-e14c106194e303b5a2ffa968740650b0

YES.

https://polymarket.com/event/2024-july-hottest-on-record?tid=1721775071343

polymarket odds for hottest july

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
No mentions of Putin. 9 mentions of Russia in transcript.
e.g. "horrible war with Russia and Ukraine"
"The whole world was at peace, and now the world is blowing up around us. All of these things you read about were not going to happen.

Under President Bush, Russia invaded Georgia. Under President Obama, Russia took Crimea. Under the current administration, Russia is after all of Ukraine. Under President Trump, Russia took nothing."

Nothing I see that looks like praise of Putin per transcript
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/19/us/politics/trump-rnc-speech-transcript.html

All Russia mentions look like: you need me as someone who might do unpredictable things in order to stop Russia aggression.

Where has this market been hiding? I haven't seen it for weeks.

Lots of other fun drama and mana probably drove it to the bottom

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
If sentencing doesn't happen as seems very likely, does this get N/Ad or resolved no or ...?

probably NO since i cant NA unless mods wanna

@SteveSokolowski I think this and the Tim Scott one can probably resolve NO?

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
Biden announced April 2023? so not in July.
I guess replacement announcements are possible....

@Qoiuoiuoiu @strutheo
Is Bullet hits Trump ear an impact event?

haha well I meant more along the lines of meteors but I'll leave this one to @strutheo

Yes I figured you meant
An impact event is a collision between astronomical objects causing measurable effects.
Trump an astronomical object sounds about right ;)
Measurable effects seems easy.

lol

Lol I dnt think it counts

bullet an astronomical escalation?

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDCA.html
14 19:52 SW 12 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW250 95 63 100.9

Last column shown above is 6 hour max temperature of 100.9

I didn't think that would resolve yes - that's a pretty rare event.

@strutheo https://www.geekwire.com/2024/microsoft-lays-off-employees-in-new-round-of-cuts might qualify

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

@Tumbles Based on the linked market, there aren't any loans due this month, so I think this can resolve NO.

@strutheo this was above 60k on July 1-2 and reached it on the 3rd, now well below. No idea why it stood at 33% days after it dipped. What am I missing?

@strutheo can you resolve YES please? thanks.

Here's a chart of the previous AGI polls. I think that the answer for 31% will be exceeded this month.