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@strutheo

5k limit order on Buttigieg just because I feel like it.

Chart: David H. Montgomery July 29 - 31, 2024 Get the data

i've put as much mana as i can on it being literally anybody other than Shapiro

Why?

Well, because Harris isn't stupid. Shapiro is an obvious liability to the ticket (for non-anti-Semitic reasons - his alleged links to covering up sex offenses and the fact that he's Hilary Clinton or Pete Buttigieg levels of "career politician who can't relate to literally anybody" - and also, let's be honest, not a single centrist Democrat cares who Kamala picks, but tons of progressives will be REALLY, REALLY pissed if Shapiro is picked, so the math there is obvious - it has a real potential to hurt her chances in Michigan just as much as it would help in PA)

i'm curious where it comes from that Shapiro "can't relate to literally anybody"? his performance in the urban areas has always been just ok, but he has destroyed every other democrat's margin in the rural areas of the state all 3 times he's been on a statewide ticket. Clinton, Biden, Fetterman, the best dem house candidates, and the row-office candidates didn't come close to his rural margins. With that many opportunities it's probably not a coincidence.

I'm bullish on Beshear. First rally being in PA means nothing because she'd NEVER hold a rally in KY

6:52 : Being Vetted As VP

The Hillary Clinton option is misspelled

upgraded to PLUS

@strutheo I realized this should probably be N/A... he can't be Kamala's VP, they're both from California, right?

maybe. I think people have gotten around it though, not sure how strong of a rule it is

It's the Twelfth Amendment...

i dont think i can na this type

Ah. Yeah, I do know there are some questions that can be partially N/A'd (I think?) and others that cannot, and I never remember which is which. Thanks anyway! 😁

Eh, residency is easy to change. Dick Cheney changed his from TX to WY in July 2000 to clear the decks for his VP run. While it might be tricky for Newsom to swap his while still CA governor, Harris could quite easily swap to DC.

bump

@strutheo two Pritzkers?

I'm out of mana someone add Mark Kelly.

Bump

ty @Marnix ! now a basic market

too poor to upgrade this rn </3