Will there be another US constitutional amendment?
Basic
9
αΉ€159
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
N/A

Edit: accidentally duplicate market => resolved N/A. Check out the linked one here https://manifold.markets/pc123/constitutional-amendment-by-2050

Resolves no in 2050, or earlier if another amendment is passed. If the governmental structure is radically altered to significantly change the process or structure of passing an amendment (revolution, etc), question resolves no.

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predicted NO

@ArmandodiMatteo ah my bad, weirdly this one didn't come up when I was searching for duplicates first.

predicted NO

is there a standard policy for what to do here?

predicted YES

@spider Apparently the standard thing to do is leave both markets open and let people arbitrage among them

(There are like half a dozen markets about whether Trump will outlive Biden)

predicted NO

@ArmandodiMatteo since the other one has two more traders than mine, I think I'm just going to resolve N/A. Seems better for the platform in the long run :)

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