Will Twitter will have a major outage by 2022-12-01?
Resolved
NO

From this poll by Dan Luu: https://twitter.com/altluu/status/1590993676398100480

"Major" outage here is defined as 30 minutes or longer, where >= 50% of U.S. users or >= 25% of global users find Twitter to be unusable. Will resolve based on whether Dan says one has happened, or if he doesn't say, whether I think one happened.

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ163
2Ṁ112
3Ṁ73
4Ṁ50
5Ṁ41
Sort by:
noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
bought Ṁ45 of YES

I don't think Elon would particularly mind if this happened; the willingness to break things part is already implied by the moving fast

cos avatar
cos
bought Ṁ5 of YES

Arbitrage: