Resolution criteria

This market will resolve "Yes" if an official, public announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah occurs at any point within the 24-hour window following an official, public announcement of a ceasefire between the United States and Iran.

A "ceasefire" is defined as a formal, publicly acknowledged agreement between the respective belligerents to halt hostilities, typically confirmed by official government statements, major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, The New York Times), or formal diplomatic communications.

If no ceasefire agreement is announced between the United States and Iran, or if a ceasefire is reached but the Israel-Hezbollah announcement does not occur within the specified 24-hour window, the market will resolve "No".