Will the number of applicants to the Atlas Fellowship be greater than 2000?

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resolved Jun 6

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market resolves to YES if the number of applicants announced when the results are released for the Summer 2022 application cycle is greater than 2000, and NO otherwise. Information about the Atlas Fellowship (run by Open Philanthropy) can be found here: https://www.atlasfellowship.org. Close date updated to 2022-05-14 11:59 pm As James pointed out, the Atlas Fellowship is supported by Open Philanthropy but is not run by it.

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11 Comments

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predicted YES

Someone I know spoke with the Atlas founder recently and was told that the number of applicants was greater than 4,000.

@slightknack What was the number of applicants?

predicted YES

The number of applicants was not announced when the results were released. I know I may be tying up some funds, so I'm planning to resolve this market N/A soon, but before I do that I'm going to poke around a bit to see if I can get an actual number.

predicted YES

I don't think the results will be released for another week, so I'll resolve this market a week from now when the results come out. Keeping the market closed for now, unless you think I should reopen it for a last round of trading.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Hi Issac, This is a cool question! One note: The Atlas Fellowship is not run by Open Philanthropy, but has been supported by it. Would you mind adding to the description to clarify?

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@slightknack Resolving it N/A in that case seems reasonable.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

@nmehndir You raise a good point, I'm not entirely sure. I'll have to reconsider my position taking this into account. Would it be fair to resolve the market as N/A if no result can be determined?

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@slightknack See below.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@Isaac Clayton How confident are you that the number of applicants will actually be made public at some point? Many summer programs never release this information.