Will the incessant Jimmy Carter markets end before the next presidential inauguration?

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Ṁ7335

Jan 20

chance

ALL

There must be no open markets with the phrase "Jimmy Carter" in the title open for at least one continuous 7-day period before the next presidential inauguration in the USA.

Open markets where the resolution criterion has been met (so pending resolution by mod for example) do not count as open. Non-predictive markets also do not count, nor does this market.

Will be extended if the inauguration is delayed.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Jimmy Carter

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12 Comments

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58 Trades

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bought Ṁ100 NO

bought Ṁ1 NO at 10%

@admissions resolves no

@nikki Why?

@admissions This market will be open for the specified times, so there will be an open Jimmy Carter market.

It is not pending resolution/closed, and is a predictive market. My market satisfies the conditions, so this market resolves no

@nikki Perhaps, unless you get banned during the next 5 months and/or your markets get deleted.

bought Ṁ100 NO from 10% to 9%

Since all the questions I have seen are about President Carter's death, I would think all of those should be closed if he dies before the next inauguration.

Why would I bet YES on this question?

bought Ṁ100 YES

So I could bet NO then make a question before inauguration that ends after inauguration with JIMMY CARTER in the title and ensure I win?

@kenmichaels Yes, but will you earn enough to justify the cost of creating a market?

@admissions that's what my limit order was for

Just to be clear, does the description mean that this market only resolves to YES if there is a 7-day period without any open Jimmy Carter markets on Manifold or does it mean there must be a 7-day period without any new Jimmy Carter markets being created?

@Arky The former. This market does not count.

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