Following the recent closure of Al Jazeera's offices in Israel,[1] citing national security concerns, this market seeks to predict further actions against other media entities. This market concerns which media organizations might be similarly targeted by the Israeli government under the same pretense by the end of 2024. This market includes various international, regional, and critical online media outlets that could potentially be affected.

I may trade in this market.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on official announcements from the Israeli government regarding the closure, suspension, or severe restriction of operations of listed media outlets within Israel, explicitly citing national security as the justification. The market will use the following sources to confirm the resolution:

1. Official statements or press releases from any relevant Israeli government department.

2. Reports from credible international news organizations covering these developments.

3. Statements or announcements directly from the media outlets themselves regarding their operational status in Israel.

The market will resolve as YES for each media outlet that meets these criteria by 23:59 EST on December 31, 2024. If no additional media outlets are closed by this deadline, the market will resolve as NO for all listed options.

Example of a sufficient action, as previously taken by the Israeli government in the closure of Al Jazeera's operations, includes (not is not limited to):

A government statement said Israel’s communications minister had signed orders to act immediately to close al Jazeera’s offices in Israel, confiscate broadcast equipment, cut the channel off from cable and satellite companies and block its websites.

Sources

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/05/israel-shuts-down-local-al-jazeera-offices-in-dark-day-for-the-media