I've been back in the US/Seattle for a year now and it wasn't my intention to stick around. I'm not particularly emotionally attached to Seattle as a place to really anchor myself, for a few reasons irrelevant here.
I have a shortlist of places that appeal for my next chapter (wholly undecided) and I only have commitments in Seattle until the end of March.
meanwhile, @RobertCousineau and I have been discussing practicalities and logistics for his yet-unscheduled (consensual) waterboarding ← there's a market for that and it's the one to blame for me even being here on Manifold tbh
I don't have a destination. he doesn't have a date commitment. so, which will come first?
I won't bet on this market because of my direct participation/influence in both things. I'll resolve as soon as either thing happens, or is officially off the table as an option (whether I decide to stay in Seattle, or Robert decides he won't be waterboarded - resolves N/A).
if I leave Manifold, Robert can help with resolving this market
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I've lost faith that the waterboarding will ever happen. Feels like a drunk dare at bar that everyone sobered up to.
And regarding moving out of Seattle, I'm in a similar situation; moved back to US, anchored for ~a year somewhere I kinda don't feel like sticking around in, am confused and directionless. So I'm rooting for you getting out and me finding my own motivation.
@Stralor are we living parallel lives? because that's basically my exact story.
also the waterboarding is 100% genuine. we were all sober at our EA Book Club discussion lol
afaict there are no practical arrangements on the line for either of these things. however, in a sudden plot twist, I need to make some big changes and am liable to leave Seattle at the end of April or sooner - yet I'm still undecided where to. my end-of-March commitment stands.
for now that seems like a potentially relevant timeline for either of these options fyi bettors