In what week will the Democrats announce the VP/Vice Presidential running mate?
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19
Ṁ16k
resolved Aug 7
100%99.0%
32 (Aug 5-11)
0.1%
30 (July 22-28)
0.3%
31 (July 29-Aug 4)
0.2%
33 (Aug 12-18)
0.2%
34 (Aug 19-25)
0.1%
35 (Aug 26-Sept 1)
0.1%
36 (Sept 2-8)

at the time of market creation, there is not an official Dem nom for President

In which week (counted by weeks in the calendar year) will the Democrats announce the party's Vice Presidential running mate? Resolves when there is an official statement announcing/introducing the VP.

The Democratic National Convention is August 19-22. I've added a couple of weeks beyond that, in case the convention is delayed for any reason.

weeks/timeframes are based on US west coast.

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Harris has been officially declared D Nom and she's announcing her VP on the 6th ✨

I'll resolve after it happens of course, but looks like that's fairly imminent

oh thanks for the nudge!

bought Ṁ75 31 (July 29-Aug 4) YES

My reasoning for why I believe Harris will announce her VP selection the week of 7/29 - 8/3:

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/in-which-week-will-kamala-harris-an#6604xr3g39g (comment 1)

My reasoning for why I believe Harris will announce her VP selection on 7/31. (I also discuss why it maybe as early 7/30 and as late as 8/7.):

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/in-which-week-will-kamala-harris-an#1dv08c7sfla (comment 2)

For the record, as I note in my comment, I traded in the other market (weekly):

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/in-which-week-will-kamala-harris-an

I have also traded in this market.