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MANIFOLD
Where will OPTIC run competitions in Spring 2024?
15
Ṁ1kṀ4.9k
resolved Apr 8
Resolved
YES
London
Resolved
NO
Boston
Resolved
NO
SF/Bay Area
Resolved
NO
NYC
Resolved
YES
DC
Resolved
NO
Chicago
Resolved
NO
Other

opticforecasting.com

to resolve YES, the competition must:

  • be majority in-person

  • have a prize

  • have ≥ two teams in attendance (previous competitions have had 30-80 competitors in 3-5 competitors per team)

  • be branded as an OPTIC competition

  • have forecasting or prediction markets as some main component

any city in which we haven't hosted such a competition by july 1 2024 resolves NO.

neither @JingyiWang nor @toms nor i will bet on this market.

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resolved DC & london to yes, all other options to no

@saulmunn the date is after July 1 2024, so time to resolve?

Several EA groups in the Netherlands are setting up forecasting teams and would be interested in this

i'm currently at 90% for each of boston and bay area, 75% for london, 40% for NYC, 30% for DC, and 20% for chicago.

@saulmunn oh, and like 10% for anything else