Based on the previous market by @DanielFilan:
https://manifold.markets/DanielFilan/when-will-asahi-linux-be-ready-enou
Asahi Linux is a project to support Linux on M-series Apple computers.
I want to know when I'll be able to take a Zoom call, with or without headphones, on a 2024 13-inch MacBook Air using an M3 chip. Specifically, I'll say this can happen when the following features are all listed as supported on the relevant wiki page:
Installer
Devicetree
Main display
Keyboard
Touchpad
WiFi
3.5mm jack
Speakers
Microphones
Webcam
"Supported" means not a WIP: I'll count it as supported if it's listed as asahi-edge, linux-asahi, or upstreamed on the current wiki page. If the wiki page goes down, I'll do my best to ascertain whether developers are representing the features as usable. I'll only count features as "listed as supported" if it's displayed on the relevant website for >=24 contiguous hours (so an accidental error quickly reversed wouldn't count).
All dates are in America/New_York time.
The market resolves to the date range which contains the end of the first 24-hour period when all these features are supported.