Will Tesla deliver more than 10 Cybertrucks on it’s November 30th release date?
11
230Ṁ3499
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES

Tesla delivers 11 or more trucks to customers on the waitlist by 11:59PM 11/30/2023 => YES

I will determine this number by any news mention of paying customer deliveries, i.e. not demos or showrooms.

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predictedYES 1y

@sames310 This should be resolvable now yes?

predictedYES

@snoozingnewt I'd wish for this to resolve quickly just because I dropped to third in Bronze 😭

1y

@snoozingnewt Oh nooo u got this the league doesn’t end in 2h54min but rather at a random time in the 24hours following that soft deadline

predictedYES 1y

@TheBayesian I'm going to bed, if it ends before I wake up and get the streak bonus I'm likely out

predictedYES 1y

@snoozingnewt good point that would suck

predictedYES 1y

@TheBayesian hm, and the market creator is quite a bit inactive, looks like this one actually is unlikely to resolve soon

1y

Just watched the stream. I count 11.

predictedNO 1y

@ChrisEdwards haha good work, dunno if you're right but good work. are the 11 cars all clearly meant for sale on that day?

predictedYES 1y

@TheBayesian in the stream, Musk says they're delivered to actual owners of the vehicles

1y

I watched the event, there was definitely less than 10

1y

ig the other day there was this article: https://electrek.co/2023/11/27/tesla-spotted-building-fleet-25-cybertrucks-launch/
which said:
> Tesla product design director Javier Verdura recently gave one more piece of information. He said that Tesla only plans to deliver the first 10 Cybertrucks at the event this week.


so... exactly 10? resolves NO if so

1y

https://www-milenio-com.translate.goog/negocios/ven-que-e-autos-superaran-a-los-de-gasolina-para-2026?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp this is the original source it was based on, which
> Tesla 's product design director , Javier Verdura , [said] during a keynote conference in Monterrey,
a bunch of stuff, including that they would sell 10 cybertrucks, but he said this before the 18th of november (since the article was published on the 17th) so I am pretty skeptical

1y

Will Tesla's truck recover from its shattering start? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-67580991

10 trucks

predictedYES 1y

Only about 10 trucks were handed off to buyers on Thursday

@A16ab doesn't give a number, might have been more might have been less

How will we know whether the recipients at delivery event or elsewhere on 30 Nov are "customers on the waitlist". Could easily be deliveries to important employees and VIPs allowed to queue jump and/or not have to bother with going on a waitlist?

1y

@ChristopherRandles

Edited description for more clarity.

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