Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which team will win the 2022 Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament?
16
Ṁ1.6kṀ14k
resolved Apr 5
100%99.4%
Kansas
0.0%Other
0.0%
Gonzaga
0.0%
Auburn
0.0%
Kentucky
0.0%
Arizona
0.0%
Duke
0.0%
Baylor
0.0%
Purdue
0.0%
Villanova
0.0%
Duke
0.0%
Houston
0.0%
Arkansas
0.0%
UCLA
0.0%
Texas Tech
0.4%
UNC
0.0%
Providence
0.0%
Miami
0.0%
Iowa State
0.0%
Saint Peter's
68 teams will compete in the "March Madness" 2022 Men's NCAA Basketball Tournament. Whichever team wins the championship game on April 4th will also be crowned the Manifold Markets champion. Close date updated to 2022-04-05 2:00 am
Market context
Sports
Basketball
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ1,808
2Ṁ156
3Ṁ146
4Ṁ108
5Ṁ105
Sort by:
I think I'll change it to close after the game. I don't plan on betting in real time but maybe there will be some interesting action as the game unfolds.
No preference here. I generally like allowing markets to stay open as late as possible until an answer is known but don’t think it’s a huge deal either way.
I think both are OK and closing 40 minutes into the final game is actually a bit more interesting. I won't be awake anyway (CET) so I personally don't care.
Anyone have thoughts on when I should close this market? It's currently set to close at 10pm tomorrow, which is about 40 minutes into the final game. I could adjust it to close before or after the game depending on preferences.
Assuming it will be resolved as MULTI (and that I understand the mechanism correctly), it makes sense to get the two "Duke" options to equivalent probabilities, such that their combined probability reflects my estimate for a Duke win.
There are two "Duke" answers. How will this market be resolved if Duke wins?
RIP
Welp
Wow
It hath begun
Sorry David!!
This market is a market after my heart. Didn't think someone would beat me to it! 😭