On June 23, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a phased 24-hour ceasefire between Iran and Israel, aiming to end the 12-day conflict. (apnews.com) This market resolves to 'Yes' if no major military actions (e.g., airstrikes, missile attacks) occur between Iran and Israel from June 24, 2025, to July 23, 2025. Minor skirmishes or isolated incidents will not affect the resolution. Verification will be based on reports from reputable news outlets such as Reuters and AP News.

I will not bet on this market.