This market will resolve NO, if a random number is above the market's probability at close
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110Ṁ5637resolved Sep 14
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I asked random.org to generate a random number between 0 and 100.
After close I will compare my random number to the probability of this market shown in the UI.
If my number is greater or equal to the probability, I will resolve to NO.
Otherwise will resolve to YES.
Hash of a message that contains the random number: 348b0ed6b150e7a85b49a960c1b51e9e3042b89dfbf5edd88bfbebfd0a7012df (generated here)
Edit: The idea is that the market always shows its probability to resolve to YES. If it shows 50% there's 50% chance it will resolve to yes, 20% - 20% chance, 100% - 100% end so on.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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