This is a game. The goal is for the probability of this market to reach 10 waypoints.
The waypoints will be generated using @FairlyRandom bot (random number in the range of 5-95 inclusive).
I'll try to prompt the bot at the same time every day: 12:00pm UTC.
Once a waypoint is produced by the bot, there will be 12 hours to reach it.
Touching it, or passing through it counts as reaching. The information will be taken from the "Trades" tab.
If a waypoint is not reached in 12 hours, Limiters win
If all of 10 waypoints are reached, Spotters win
Limiters = people who place limits
Spotters = people who buy at the spot price, and trying to breach the limits to get to the waypoint
The game starts at Monday October 9!
This market resolves YES.
Market to trade on who will win:
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ72 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ6 |
Turns out this wasn't as a good idea as I thought it was.
One of the reasons the game is not balanced:
there's incentive to place limit orders here because this market resolves YES,
but there is not as much incentive to bet NO on the markets about reaching the waypoints.
So there's not enough liquidity on the other markets to compensate attempts to breach the limits.
Also, maybe the whole concept is not that interesting, or the name is too cringey 😈
Was interesting to try anyway! Thank you to everyone who played!
It's time to start the game! I'll request the first waypoint from the bot now.
@FairlyRandom min=5 max=95