By 2025, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
closes 2025
Get Ṁ500 play money

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Sort by:
StrayClimb avatar

@StrayClimb new number one hit, I'll just stand here til you deliver my winnings

ForrestTaylor avatar
Forrest Taylorbought Ṁ30 of NO

@StrayClimb this song sucks dude. Sorry.

HfdidiurhtIdifhthdjdi avatar
Hfdidiurht Idifhthdjdipredicts YES

@StrayClimb solid banger

JustNo avatar
dggL avatar

What counts as primarily AI generated?

2 replies
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts NO

@dggL on my markets for 2026 and 2030, the idea is : having significant influence on the song's melody, harmony, rhythm, instrumental timbre and tone, and EQ mixing. As a thumb rule, if the AI system was responsible for at least one third of the song production process is what i'm considering for it being AI-generated

Julian avatar
Julianpredicts NO

@firstuserhere Ok but this one says "primarily" and one third is not primarily

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ100 of NO

So, either a song released in 2023 or 2024 is top 100 by the year end? This market seems way too high to me

3 replies
dmayhem93 avatar
dmayhem93bought Ṁ15 of YES

@firstuserhere 50% seems right to me, 2 years ago SOTA image generation was still GANs

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts NO

@dmayhem93 oh damn, that was not even 2 years ago? Wow.

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts NO

@dmayhem93 that's okay. This is more of a popularity question, not achieving a new :SOTA

firstuserhere avatar

Created another market till 2030:

firstuserhere avatar

Same market but till 2026:

2 replies
firstuserhere avatar

@firstuserhere Note that there is a gap of 2 years in the market question. One is about 2023 and 2024-year end, and one is for 2 more years.

firstuserhere avatar

@firstuserhere nvm, misread, disregard the above comment.