By 2025, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
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predicts YES

NostalgIA, an AI generated song by flowgpt, entered the top 20 of Spanish Spotify charts. Seems like tentative evidence that we will get something in the hot 100 by 2025.

@StrayClimb new number one hit, I'll just stand here til you deliver my winnings

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@StrayClimb this song sucks dude. Sorry.

predicts YES

@StrayClimb solid banger

What counts as primarily AI generated?

predicts NO

@dggL on my markets for 2026 and 2030, the idea is : having significant influence on the song's melody, harmony, rhythm, instrumental timbre and tone, and EQ mixing. As a thumb rule, if the AI system was responsible for at least one third of the song production process is what i'm considering for it being AI-generated

predicts NO

@firstuserhere Ok but this one says "primarily" and one third is not primarily

bought Ṁ100 of NO

So, either a song released in 2023 or 2024 is top 100 by the year end? This market seems way too high to me

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@firstuserhere 50% seems right to me, 2 years ago SOTA image generation was still GANs

predicts NO

@dmayhem93 oh damn, that was not even 2 years ago? Wow.

predicts NO

@dmayhem93 that's okay. This is more of a popularity question, not achieving a new :SOTA

Created another market till 2030:

Same market but till 2026:

@firstuserhere Note that there is a gap of 2 years in the market question. One is about 2023 and 2024-year end, and one is for 2 more years.

@firstuserhere nvm, misread, disregard the above comment.