Will it be possible for AI to generate reasonably good video ads by 2024?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2024?
Will a text prompt based AI music generator that most of the time cannot be told apart from human musicians be publicly available by the end of 2023?
Instant deepfakes of anyone by the end of 2027?
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
By 2024 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Based on Vincent Luczkow's 2029 market)
Will I spend over $50 on AI music generation in 2023?
Will there be a song created by an AI system in the year-end top 100 Billboards chart by 2026? (4000M subsidy)
Will character.ai be sued by at least one celebrity for using their personality by the end of 2023?
Will an AI art generator be trained that uses only public domain and Creative Commons images by the end of 2023?
Will any AI model generate image of correct QWERTY keyboard consistently, to a prompt, by the end of 2024? ($1000M sub)
Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?
By 2025, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
Instant deepfakes of anyone before the end of 2024?
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Will a podcast with an AI system get >= 1 million listens/views by the end of 2023
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2023?
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?
Will an AI song have >30m plays? (2023)