When will I first be able to rent a Blackwell GPU by the hour?
6
110Ṁ972
resolved Apr 12
100%15%
March 2025
0.6%
February 2025
66%
April 2025
7%
May 2025
4%
June 2025
3%
July 2025
0.8%
August 2025
0.8%
September 2025
0.8%
October 2025
0.8%
November 2025
0.8%
December 2025

This market will resolve to the first month when Blackwell GPUs (B100, B200, etc) are available to rent by the hour online. For example, if B100s are listed on Lambda Labs for $4/hr on March 3, I will resolve "March 2025" to "yes" and all other options to "no."

For example, this would have resolved May 2023 for Hopper (https://lambdalabs.com/blog/lambda-cloud-deploys-nvidia-h100-tensor-core-gpus).

  • Monthly contracts don't count.

  • It's fine if the GPUs are listed but consistently sold out, as long as it seems that some normal consumers (excluding special early access, insiders, etc) are using them.

  • The provider should be a serious GPU cloud (Vast, Runpod, Lambda, AWS, etc.); novelty deployments don't count.

Since the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not trade this market.

Clarifications:

  • Only datacenter GPUs count; 5090s and other consumer-grade Blackwell chips don't count.

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