Context: https://x.com/GabrielPeterss4/status/1946639429592109253
tldr: Gabriel Peters has been suffering from brain fog and low energy levels for the past 2 years and is looking for the root cause.
Re: the answers:
All those options require proper evidence (i.e. bloodwork, sleep studies, etc). I will trust Peters once he shares on X if he claims that he confirmed something. For creatine I will resolve to yes if Peters confirms that supplementing creatine has fixed his brain fog or significantly improved it.
Might also give Peters' the rights to directly resolve the question itself if he gets an acc on Manifold.
Assuming none of the answers above can be confirmed by Dec 31, I will resolve to "Other".
Update 2025-07-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the resolution process in case of multiple potential diagnoses:
The market will resolve to the first diagnosis to be confirmed.
The market will be resolved as soon as possible after the first confirmation and will not wait for other potential diagnoses.
1,000@0x413124 I deliberately chose "first diagnosis" to leave the option open that there could be multiple things wrong with him.
There's the problem that there could be multiple issues, but then I can't really resolve the market since I would have to answer "Yes" or "No" to all at the same time - at least the way I understand how it works. I could wait until Dec 31 to resolve all to yes that are confirmed until then, but that would be a long time. So I just chose the first one to be confirmed to resolve it ASAP