
Closure Time: Random but predetermined time between 0:01 - 23:59 UTC on 28 February 2024
I will not be trading in this market.
This question resolves to YES if the predicted probability for YES on this question is more than 40% at the Closure Time.
Resolves to NO otherwise.
30% at 17:02 UTC, resolved to NO.
Uhh this is pretty obviously fraud. A ton of newly created alts bet on the market 10 seconds before it resolved at a supposedly “random” time.
@Arky I can see that betting was quite intense, and some accounts seem to be newly created. I don’t know how we can solve this issue. Obviously, people betting on no would complain if I resolved it to YES or N/A. I did what the description said. I am happy to do whatever the mods say, if they find that something went wrong.
@DottedCalculator Only if you can predict the end time, otherwise someone can come after you with even more mana to tip it back to yes.