Will I stick to my study schedule (3h daily target) until EOY?
4
1kṀ425
Dec 31
51%
chance

This market is an experimental commitment device for a daily study protocol until EOY, featuring a banking system and specific health exemptions. Note that my last two recent study markets resolved NO. Thats why I created this new system, which is my most sophisticated/overly complicated system so far.

  1. Timeframe

  • 2025-12-10 to 2025-12-31, inclusive.

  • Holidays: Dec 24, 25, and 26 are exempt.

  1. Daily Goal

  • Baseline: 3 hours "Calculated Study Time" (credit for on-demand AV lectures= Content Duration / 1.25).

  • Active Work: Min. 1 hour of the total must be "Active Legal Work" (writing/research/reviewing for a specific output).

  1. Start Time & Penalty

  • Target: 09:00 AM.

  • Penalty: Starting at 09:01 AM or later adds +2 minutes to the daily goal per 1 minute late. Penalty minutes do not count toward banking.

  • Exception: Target waived if an appointment is scheduled before 10:30 AM.

  1. Banking System

  • Earn: minutes above daily minimum (Standard + Penalty) are banked.

  • Spend: 1 banked minute reduces the daily goal by 1 minute.

  • Surcharge: Waiving or reducing the 1h Active Work requirement costs a 60-minute surcharge, e.g. full day skip = 180 time + 60 surcharge = 240 banked mins.

  • Expiration: Banked minutes don't expire and may be carried over to a follow-up market.

  1. Health Exceptions

  • Tier 1 (Lite Mode): <5h sleep or functional illness.

    Effect: Start time waived. Goal becomes 2h Passive OR 1h Active. No banking earned.

  • Tier 2 (Incapacitated): Migraine or severe illness (unable to read or view screens without discomfort).

    Effect: Day fully exempt.

  1. Resolution Criteria

  • YES if I meet the applicable requirements for every active day.

  • NO if I fail on any single active day.

  • Resolution based on honor system; banking and health status tracked privately.

Additional notes

I will not trade on this market. Thanks for participating! ❤

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