Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day in July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)

Question

This market is about whether I will leave the house before 11 a.m. every day from 1 July to 31 July.

YES if I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day within the timeframe and stay outside for at least 10 minutes.

NO if I don't, for any reason whatsoever.

Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close.

Thanks for participating. ❤

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (3 traders, as of Jun 28, 2026).

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