Will I ban mobile devices from my bedroom until July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)

Question

This is a commitment device market about completely avoiding mobile devices in my bedroom, from 17 June to 30 June.

YES if I dont use a mobile device (smartphone, tablet, laptop) in my bedroom, within the timeframe. "Use" is active use, except for printing documents.

NO if I use a mobile device in my bedroom, within the timeframe.

Ṁ10 Bonus: Every human unique trader on this market receives a one-time Ṁ10 Bonus at market close.

Additional notes

The Ṁ10 bonus is an experiment to see if it increases participation. More participation = more motivation. I will not trade on this market. Have a nice day. ❤

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 56% chance (4 traders, as of Jun 16, 2026).

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