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MANIFOLD
How often will I exercise in August? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
12
Ṁ1kṀ4k
2027
4.2 times
expected
84%
Above 3
29%
Above 6
17%
Above 9
13%
Above 12
11%
Above 15
7%
Above 18
6%
Above 21
5%
Above 24
5%
Above 27
5%
Above 30

This is a commitment device market regarding the total amout of times I will do (probably mostly basic) excersise from August 1 through August 31. I'm a student and the exam period begins in August.

  • One session equals at least 30 minutes of cardio training or a 60 minutes walk. Up to two separate workouts per day count.

  • Current count: 3, Aug 10

  • Ṁ10 Bonus: Every unique human trader on this market receives a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close.

Thanks for participating. ❤

  • Update 2026-08-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market resolves based on the total number of workout sessions, rather than days or hours.

    • To count as two separate sessions in a single day, the workouts must be not back-to-back (e.g., one in the morning and one in the afternoon).

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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Exam stress, laziness, and an ongoing middle ear infection. I didn't forget to count—I really didn't work out. This market is mispriced.

@redcat Just to clarify, what do you mean by "up to two separate workouts per day count". Oh, also, are you asking about the number of days or hours?

@Chimpy I'm asking about workout sessions and I mean that I can do two separate sessions on a day, not back-to-back. So if I do 30+mins of cardio in the morning and 30+ mins of cardio in the afternoon it counts as two sessions.

@redcat alr, thanks