If Erica Kirk is in the 2028 Republican Primary debate, will she capture 20% of the vote in the primary?

Question

If Erica Kirk is in the 2028 Republican Primary debate, will she capture >20% of the vote in the primary?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 31% chance (6 traders, as of Jan 20, 2026).

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