MANIFOLD
Will you be able to trade against the house on Polymarket or Kalshi before 2028?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ175
2027
13%
chance
28

https://x.com/StockMKTNewz/status/2031872390230061425

Like a sportsbook

  • Update 2026-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Kalshi placing orders in the order book themselves does not count. The market resolves YES only if Polymarket or Kalshi implements a sportsbook-type feature where users can trade directly against the house.

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i presume it doesn’t count of kalshi is placing orders in the order book themselves? (since kalshi trade already does this)

@brod Correct, the spirit of the market is if they implement a sportsbook-type feature

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