Will my Manifold rating be above 4.1 in a month?

Question

Update 2026-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If resolving this market itself causes the rating to rise above 4.1, it does not count toward a YES resolution.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 52% chance (2 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).

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