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MANIFOLD
Who will get me the three papers fastest?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ486
Apr 21
24%
Velaris
7%
MachNi
51%
Dssc
18%
Other

https://manifold.markets/realDonaldTrump/how-many-of-the-3-papers-i-want-to?r=cmVhbERvbmFsZFRydW1w

  • Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a user can only provide 2 out of 3 papers, they will receive 66% of the resolution (proportional credit per paper found).

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I feel so tempted to insider trade...

@Velaris do it

bought Ṁ10 NO

@realDonaldTrump I can't get the papers in the next 13 or so hours though. I'm kinda busy.

opened aṀ1,000 NO at 1.0% order

@Dssc lol

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 1.0% order

@realDonaldTrump I only have access to 2/3 bc my university subscription doesn't go back far enough for the one in Vol. 3 No. 2 (2009)

Unless it's 33% for each paper found fastest?

@Dssc Send the first two and get 66%!

I'll wait for confirmation from @realDonaldTrump if I would actually resolve to 66% if I do

sold Ṁ12 NO

@Dssc He did heart on my comment below!

@Dssc yes you'd get it

bought Ṁ10 NO

I assume this also resolves 33% for each paper found fastest?