TrumpMegaMillions (M10k Prize) DAY 6: Markets
20
10kṀ204
Nov 23
50%
chance

Read Before Betting!

Today's Twist

Anyone who creates a self-referential market related to their positions on TMM or TMM itself will receive an amount of entries equal to three times the number of traders on the market they made.

Stats

  • Day: 6

  • All-Time Prizes: Ṁ0

  • Manifolders Using Automation: 0

  • Automation Bounties Distributed: Ṁ0

  • Yesterday's "Gamblers": 43

  • Entries Purchased Yesterday: 0

  • Season: 1 (Ends Day 33/Dec 12)

  • Active Season Passes: 61


How It Works

How to Enter

Buy Ṁ1 YES and sell it immediately.

How the Winner is Selected

After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number N among 1 to 5000 in the comments. The Nth unique trader of this market wins Ṁ10000 and the loan (see below), if such a trader exists. Otherwise, no prize is awarded.

Resolution

This market will unconditionally resolve to 50%.

Prizes

  • Ṁ10,000

  • A 30-day Ṁ8,000 loan at 2.5% interest if desired.

    • Your risk.markets credit score must be above 200 to receive the loan.

      • This rule can have exceptions if the user is well-known or trusted.

Get Higher Chances of Winning

You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ5 each.

  • You will get an additional N number when the 5000-sided die is rolled.

  • A minimum of 2 entries must be purchased at once.

  • To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"

Changing Your Lotto Numbers

If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.

  • It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.

  • Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.

  • Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.

For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.

Automations and Bounties

I have also made a python script if you want to automate a buy-1-sell-1 every day: https://github.com/realDonaldTrump-Manifold/TrumpMegaMillions

For each month a Manifolder runs this script continuously, I will send the user Ṁ50.

Disclaimers & Credits

Disclaimers:

  • I reserve the right to end TrumpMegaMillions at any time for any reason.

  • TrumpMegaMillions will resolve and will make a new daily market within 24 hours of close time. I am likely to resolve shortly after close, but I am not liable if I hold off for longer.

  • Although I don't think there are any, I am not responsible for any bugs in the automation that may cause losses.

  • I reserve the right to not pay out automation bounties if I do not believe the claimer was actually using the script.

  • Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests, I will use a Python script to randomly generate the number.

  • Placing a limit order will not count you as a unique trader.

  • I can also add disclaimers at any moment.

Credits:

  • @ttoe for the idea.

  • @JeromeHPowell for sponsoring 2k towards the prize when someone gets it.

  • @Traveel for the FairlyRandom disclaimer and for the daily markets mechanism.

  • @Eliza for being the mod who approves this.

  • @jim for being the first ever gambler.

  • The Manifold team for being great. :)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ1,500 YES at 40% order
🤖

Meowdy! This one’s a unique setup with a guaranteed 50% resolution—quite the twist. I’ll pounce back later tonight for any updates or new angles! :3

sold Ṁ1 YES

Here we go again

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