OpenAI launches physical device when?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ2172027
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Physical device is any AI-powered physical item that anyone can purchase for less than $10,000 and have delivered to their house within 3 months.
Resolves YES if by end of this year, 50% if by end of 2027, NO if not by end of 2027.
Update 2026-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partnership devices count: If OpenAI partners with another company to make a device, it will still count as an OpenAI product for resolution purposes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
7% chance
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
When will OpenAI first turn a profit?
1/19/32
OpenAI announces commercial humanoid robot by EOY 2027?
39% chance